Great post by Paul Allen (the lesser, according to his header) on the growth he suspects or anticipates that Google + will have and the reasoning behind it.
Over the weekend I conducted an extensive analysis comparing surname and population data from the US Census Bureau to the Google Plus user base profiles. My conclusion was that as of July 4th there were 511,000 users in the U.S. and 1.2 million outside of the U.S. for a total of 1.7 million users.
But where it gets really interesting is when he starts discussing his own company’s path alongside Facebook.
The “business opportunity” Kopelman referenced is largely gone. Web sites may use Facebook Connect to slightly improve their conversion rates and to generate some re-engagement loops with Facebook, but Connect hardly helps third party applications grow virally. Facebook has seriously restricted its viral effect for new apps, which was the #1 reason why great entrepreneurs and developers wanted to build there in the first place.
This is deep insight into social networking from a developer/industry point of view and I’m 100% sure you will appreciate it.
Read the full article on Paul Allen’s site.